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Used car insight: used car values fall for third month running

Average used car values have decreased for the third month running, according to BCA’s latest Pulse report.

The overall average value for cars sold in November was £5,903 – a fall of £118 (2%) compared to October.

A further point also came off the CAP comparison, which now stands at 94.45% of Clean figures. 

Values remain well ahead year-on-year by £1,080 (22.3%), although as prices were beginning their recovery 12 months ago, it is likely that this figure will reduce in the months ahead.

BCA’s communications director Tony Gannon said “With this slight slowdown, the marketplace appears to be resuming a more typical pattern of activity.

"In previous years, September was often a peak in the annual price cycle, with values falling slightly in the following months of October and November and that is exactly what has happened this year.”

Volumes of fleet/lease and nearly new cars sold in November were broadly in line with those seen in October, although there was a fall in P/X volumes – perhaps reflecting the more difficult retail picture being reported by dealers.

Average values fell in two of the three main product sectors – fleet and lease values fell by £457 to £7,159 (down 6%).

Nearly-new values decreased by £2,191 to £16,969 (down 11%) - although there was a shift in model mix away from higher value premium models that will have had an effect.

Meanwhile part-exchange values bucked the trend by increasing from £2,585 to £2,649 – a modest increase of £44, but still equivalent to a 2.5% rise.

Factor in the average 2% drop recorded across all sectors and the part-exchange sector has outperformed the market by 4.5 points.

The continued demand in this sector shows that there are plenty of motorists still needing budget-priced transport.

Average used values - all sectors - 2008/2009 by month

Average used values - all sectors - 2008/2009 by month

Average used values % vs CAP Clean 2008/2009

Average used values % vs CAP Clean 2008/2009

Fleet and lease - November

Average fleet and lease values fell by £457 to £7,159 in November.

This represented a 6.0% fall and followed a 3% fall recorded in October.

Performance against CAP Clean fell for the fourth consecutive month, losing over a point to sit at just over 94% - the lowest CAP comparison this year.

Even so, year-on-year values remain well-ahead by £1,563, equivalent to a 28% uplift over the 12 month period.

Average fleet and lease used values 2008 - 2009

Average fleet and lease used values 2008 - 2009

 Average fleet and lease used values % vs CAP Clean 2008/2009

 Average fleet and lease used values % vs CAP Clean 2008/2009

Part-exchange - November

Dealer P/X stock values recovered well in November, despite the slightly softer marketplace and good volumes available from other sources such as the fleet & lease operators.

Demand in this sector remains very strong and underlines that for many motorists on a tight budget, a six-year-old, 80,000-mile car is an attractive, affordable proposition.

The relative shortage of P/X cars compared to October may well have been a factor in the increase in average value.

Average part-exchange used values 2008 - 2009

Average part-exchange used values 2008 - 2009

Looking at P/X product in detail, the recovery in value was seen in the budget, volume and premium car sectors.

For clarity, the start value, low-point and last three months are shown only.

Average part-exchange used values 2008 - 2009

Average part-exchange values by sector 2008 - 2009

Nearly-new - November

November saw the first fall in nearly-new values since April 2009, as £2,191 came off the average value in a month.

The substantial 11% fall will in part be due to a shift in model mix away from higher value premium models.

The average CAP performance continued to fall, dipping below 100% of Clean values for the first time this year.

Average nearly-new used values 2008 - 2009

Average nearly-new used values 2008 - 2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

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