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Industry warns of £1,500 average car price rise post-Brexit

Gareth Jones

List prices on imported cars could go up by an average £1,500 post-Brexit.

New Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders' analysis suggests that EU tariffs on cars alone could add at least an annual £2.7 billion to imports and £1.8 billion to exports.

At the organisation's annual dinner last night its president Gareth Jones, urging the Government to keep Britain in the single market, said import tariffs alone could push up the list price of cars imported to the UK from the continent by an average of £1,500 if brands and their retail networks were unable to absorb these additional costs.*

The president's address to more than 1,100 industry leaders and government officials came days after SMMT published production figures showing UK car makers are on track to set a new record for exports and beat the production volumes achieved last year.

Jones (pictured) said: “The Government has – commendably – put industrial strategy at the heart of business and the department for business.

“It does so as it faces its toughest challenge – leaving the EU. We must make the right decisions: on trade, on regulations and on business competitiveness.

"The challenge now is to make a success of the new future.

“We want a strong UK economy and we want to see the UK's influence in the world enhanced.

“But this cannot be at the expense of jobs, growth or being an open, welcoming trading nation. Our members have told us what you want; membership of the single market, consistency in regulations, access to global talent and the ability to trade abroad free from barriers and red tape."

Success built on investment

He warned, however, that this success was the result of multi-billion pound investment decisions made years before the EU referendum was even a prospect.

The industry’s fundamental strengths, including one of the world’s most highly skilled and productive workforces, will stand it in good stead to face challenges, but success cannot be taken for granted, Jones said.

“The renaissance is down to years of hard work, hard won investment and long-term collaborative partnership between industry and government.

“We operate in an intensely competitive environment.

“We need to create the right conditions for future competitiveness, for developing skills and securing the strength of our economy by investing in R&D, and enabling new technologies to be developed here in the UK.”

Fourth industrial revolution

Jones was speaking as the SMMT launches a new report produced by KPMG, The Digitalisation of Automotive Manufacturing in the UK.

According to the report, the transition to digital manufacturing through new technologies such as 3D printing and artificial intelligence, has the potential to significantly boost productivity still further.

More effective use of data, meanwhile, will reduce plant maintenance downtime, speed up product planning and improve quality, meaning consumers could see the time they have to wait for a new car cut by a third.

Jones said: “The so-called fourth industrial revolution will be a step change in manufacturing, with production lines developing more over the next five to 10 years than in the past half century.”

All of this is set to add an annual £6.9 billion to industry turnover, including a £2.6 billion supply chain boost, while also delivering £74 billion to the wider UK economy over the next two decades.

Realising this potential will require significant investment – and that will depend upon maintaining the UK’s international competitiveness and being part of future regulatory and standard development.

New SMMT president

Jones, managing director of Pritex, will step down as SMMT president after a two-year term at the end of the year.

His successor, announced at the dinner, is Tony Walker, deputy managing director, Toyota Motor Manufacturing UK and managing director, Toyota Motor Europe, London.

He will take over the position from 2017.

*Based on the application of a 10% standard tariff on cars exported to and imported from the EU.

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  • G60Tim - 30/11/2016 11:40

    As around 70-80% of private new car buyers now use PCP, doesn't this essentially equate to around £20-£25 a month extra? I suppose the SMMT declaring Brexit could cost buyers an extra £20 a month is less of a Government attention grabber.

  • Rob Chisholm, Applewood Vehicle Finance Ltd - 30/11/2016 13:10

    All of this is based on an assumption. And we have all been told on those sales courses over the years what ASSUME means, haven't we? The danger on price increases is not so much surrounding tariffs, but on exchange rates. By the time any tariffs have been agreed (if at all) the markets will have got used to the idea of the UK leaving the single market, the £ will have found it's truer position (quite probably higher than it is currently) and those exchange rate changes will balance out any (possible) tariffs. That's assuming (there we go again!) the manufacturers won't be taking advantage of the political situation ... they wouldn't do that, would they? In any cases, there is clearly enough flex in the current list price structure, judging by the transaction prices we are currently seeing to minimise the effects of any price list changes. Let's get back to something more meaningful, like not making any assumptions based on our own feelings around Brexit.

  • P K R Chatterjee - 01/12/2016 11:29

    UK is the biggest market for EU. If EU levies tariff on UK goods to EU UK should likewise. UK will be better off as we sell £130 Billion and EU sells £160 Billion to us. If UK turns outwards then EU will lose heavily and will eventually fragment as UK is the glue which is holding EU together.