AM Online

Buoyant used car year, says Manheim

The used car market remained buoyant throughout 2006 according to Manheim Auctions’ latest Market Analysis used car report.

Used car stability continued into the last quarter of 2006 against a particularly strong wholesale market from June through to September 2006.

Volumes in Q4 2006 fell in line with seasonal expectations, but were still a good way above the level seen in the same period in 2005.

As demand continued across the market in Q4, certain sectors that rely heavily on the used car market breathed a sigh of contentment. Overall average values in Q4 remained at the highest level seen, hovering just under £6,200 (up £588 on the same period in 2005), whilst the % retained against Cost New remained extremely strong at 39.7% (up 3.2% v Q4 2005).

The biggest influence on values is always age and mileage but these remained virtually unchanged in Q4, averaging 39 months and 51,000 miles respectively, confirming the true buoyancy of the market in this period.

All of this was achieved on the back of new car sales ending 3.9% down on the previous year.

Fleet/Lease sector
The Fleet market performed well during Q4 at a time when sector prices can often soften.

  • Small decreases in age (- 1 mth to 43.9 months ) & miles (- 900 to 58,131 miles)
  • Original cost new price unchanged at £15,500
  • Sales price up £130 to £5298 (+ 2.5%)
  • Percentage retained of cost new up to 34.1% (+ 0.75%)
  • Stocking days down 2 to 14 days

    #AM_ART_SPLIT# Manufacturer sector
    This sector is usually most vulnerable to price drops at the back end of the year. In Q4 reductions were minimal and underlined the strength in the nearly-new market against the backdrop of poor new car sales.

  • Small decrease in age (down 1 to 12.7 months) & miles (down 1,000 to 14,821)
  • Original cost new price unchanged at £17,700
  • Sales price down by £140 to £11,274 (- 1.25%)
  • Percentage retained of cost new down to 63.5% (- 0.8%)
  • Stocking days up 1 to 9 days

    Dealer sector
    Given the relatively low value of vehicles, this sector is the least likely to be materially affected in Q4. Part-exchanges from retail activity continued to see strong demand and prices actually went up.

  • Age and mileage unchanged at 86.6 months & 71,000 miles respectively
  • Original cost new price unchanged at £14,100
  • Sales price up £88 to £2,444 (+ 3.7%)
  • Percentage retained of cost new up to 17.3% (+ 0.5%)
  • Stock days down by 1 to 4 days

    Vehicle Segments
    The following summarises the main movements across the key vehicle segments in Q4 2006.

    Age:

  • No notable changes in any segment

    Mileage:

  • Most segments remained unchanged however noticeable increase in Executive segment – up 5K to 69K miles, with smaller increase in MPV segment – up 2K to 50K miles
  • Highest mileages are Executive models covering 69K at 43 months
  • Lowest mileages are Superminis covering 22K at 33 months

    Selling price:

  • Superminis down £98 (-2.4%) but still strong at £4,000
  • Small Hatchbacks up £170 (+ 4%) to £4,515
  • Med Family down by £125 (-2.1%) to £5,596
  • Large Family up by £125 (+2.3%) to £5,439
  • Compact Execs up £300 (3.4%) to £9,019
  • Executives down by nearly £500 (-4.5%) to £10,601
  • MPVs down by £360 (-5%) to £6,469
  • 4x4s down by £360 (-3.25%) to £10,849

    Percentage retained of cost new

  • Small Hatchback and Compact Exec are both up by 1%
  • Executive, MPV and 4x4 segments are all down by 1%
  • Top performers are Supermini (47%) and Small Hatchback (45%), but both younger with lower mileage
  • Worst performing segment continues to be Large Family at 32% (41 months / 66K miles)
  • Strongest performers for age/mileage are Compact Executives at 41% (42months / 65K miles) and 4x4 segment (44 months / 46K miles)
  • If you are not a registered user your comment will go to AM for approval before publishing. To avoid this requirement please register or login.

    Comment as guest


    Login  /  Register

    Comments

    No comments have been made yet.